October 2026 CPI print day, live: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET

The October 2026 CPI is released Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation’s standing call is 3.86% (receipt provisional, SHA-256 de3e691181a88304…) against a prior print of 3.7%. This page becomes the graded result the morning the number lands. The Nowflation CPI Gauge — a measurement of today, not a call on the print — reads 3.46% as of October 17, 2026.

Headline CPI YoY

Forecaster	Call	Source
Nowflation Forecast	3.86%	receipt (provisional)
Nowflation Model	3.98%	receipt (provisional)
Cleveland Fed	3.77%	receipt (provisional)

Core CPI YoY

Forecaster	Call	Source
Nowflation Model	2.76%	receipt (provisional)
Cleveland Fed	2.48%	receipt (provisional)

Headline CPI MoM

Forecaster	Call	Source
Nowflation Model	0.28%	receipt (provisional)
Cleveland Fed	0.27%	receipt (provisional)
Kalshi market-implied	0.30%	receipt (provisional)

Core CPI MoM

Forecaster	Call	Source
Nowflation Model	0.23%	receipt (provisional)
Cleveland Fed	0.21%	receipt (provisional)

Pre-registration receipt

Status provisional, written October 17, 2026 at 8:05 AM ET. standing nowcast / ensemble / benchmark values — provisional until the pre-print lock the evening before release. Nowflation CPI Forecast on the receipt: 3.86% (reported 3.9%). SHA-256: de3e691181a883043d78ba14147e39004f21ce2c6fdf7ecd8a0d0ea2664a695c. Receipt JSON · all receipts.

Method

Before the print: every call as it stands on the tape, sealed into the receipt the evening before release (SHA-256 of the receipt JSON with its sha256 field removed). After the print: the scoreboard rows frozen at grading time — later revisions by any source never touch them. Graded against the BLS first release (YoY on the NSA index, MoM seasonally adjusted, one decimal). Signed error = forecast − actual.

Scoreboard · October 2026 CPI preview, the preview before the print · compare the forecasters · print day, live · dashboard.

Countdown

The October 2026 CPI is released Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET (BLS). The countdown runs live on this page; this section grades itself after the release.

What to watch

Prior print: 3.7% YoY (September 2026 CPI).
The Nowflation call: 3.86% headline YoY, provisional on the receipt (October 17, 2026 at 8:05 AM ET).
The Gauge today: 3.46% on October 17, 2026, a measurement of prices now, not a call on the print.

The Nowflation call

3.86% headline CPI YoY for October 2026 (error-weighted ensemble); receipt provisional, written October 17, 2026 at 8:05 AM ET (receipt JSON).

Competing forecasts

Forecaster	Call	Source
Nowflation Model	3.98%	receipt (provisional)
Cleveland Fed	3.77%	receipt (provisional)

Grading

This section fills in automatically after the release (Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET): the printed number from BLS, every forecaster's miss, and the closest call.