Economic Articles by Steven Fiorillo: original analysis of US inflation
Original, bylined analysis of US inflation by Steven Fiorillo — written pieces, dated and never machine-generated, that sit next to the site's measurements: the daily Nowflation Gauge, the pre-registered CPI forecast and the scoreboard that grades it. Every number quoted in an article is fixed at the date it was written, with the date shown, so a piece reads the same a year later; the live figures are on the pages each article links to.
Steven Fiorillo — MBA · 1,600+ Seeking Alpha articles · 42,940 followers · founder of Fiorillo Media and co-host of Basis Points. Markets writer and analyst with an MBA. He has published more than 1,600 articles on Seeking Alpha, where 42,940 investors follow his work, and TipRanks has ranked him as high as #3 among financial bloggers and #12 among all financial experts. He co-hosts the Basis Points podcast, runs the Steven Fiorillo channel on YouTube and writes The Fiorillo Letter. He founded Fiorillo Media and Fiorillo & Co, and he builds and runs Nowflation: the daily gauge, the pre-registered CPI forecast and the public scoreboard that grades it.
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3 articles, newest first
- The Fed Can't Hike Its Way Out of an Oil Shortage — Sep 14, 2026 · 24 min read · fed, oil, cpi, rates, treasury
Why another rate hike risks turning a physical energy shock into a federal refinancing problem, a household credit squeeze and a 2027 demand recession - New York's Estate Tax Cliff: How an Extra $400,000 Leaves Your Heirs With Less — Sep 14, 2026 · 5 min read · taxes, new-york, estate-tax, estate-planning
New York erases its whole estate tax exclusion once an estate is 5% past the line, so $400,000 more on paper leaves heirs $339,000 poorer. How the cliff works - The $111 Billion Exodus: What IRS Migration Data Shows About New York's Tax Base — Sep 14, 2026 · 6 min read · taxes, new-york, migration, irs, budget
The IRS migration files put dollars on New York's outflow: $111 billion of net income in a decade, $9.9 billion more last year, from a base of 99,404 filers
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