The October 2026 CPI is released Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation’s standing call is 3.86% (receipt provisional, SHA-256 de3e691181a88304…) against a prior print of 3.7%. This page grades every forecaster the minute the number lands; the site republishes within about fifteen minutes of the print. The Nowflation CPI Gauge — a measurement of today, not a call on the print — reads 3.46% as of October 17, 2026.
| Forecaster | Call | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Nowflation Forecast | 3.86% | receipt (provisional) |
| Nowflation Model | 3.98% | receipt (provisional) |
| Cleveland Fed | 3.77% | receipt (provisional) |
| Forecaster | Call | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Nowflation Model | 2.76% | receipt (provisional) |
| Cleveland Fed | 2.48% | receipt (provisional) |
| Forecaster | Call | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Nowflation Model | 0.28% | receipt (provisional) |
| Cleveland Fed | 0.27% | receipt (provisional) |
| Kalshi market-implied | 0.30% | receipt (provisional) |
| Forecaster | Call | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Nowflation Model | 0.23% | receipt (provisional) |
| Cleveland Fed | 0.21% | receipt (provisional) |
Status provisional, written October 17, 2026 at 8:05 AM ET. standing nowcast / ensemble / benchmark values — provisional until the pre-print lock the evening before release. Nowflation CPI Forecast on the receipt: 3.86% (reported 3.9%). SHA-256: de3e691181a883043d78ba14147e39004f21ce2c6fdf7ecd8a0d0ea2664a695c. Receipt JSON · all receipts.
Before the print: every call as it stands on the tape, sealed into the receipt the evening before release (SHA-256 of the receipt JSON with its sha256 field removed). After the print: the scoreboard rows frozen at grading time — later revisions by any source never touch them. Graded against the BLS first release (YoY on the NSA index, MoM seasonally adjusted, one decimal). Signed error = forecast − actual.
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