Every scheduled macro release — CPI, jobs, GDP, PCE, retail sales, Fed decisions — with the Street consensus before each print and the actual after, impact-ranked so the market movers stand out. The calendar is the metronome of macro: every number on this site updates on the rhythm shown here.
CPI lands mid-month at 8:30 AM ET (the next print is on the forecast page with our call, locked the evening before the release), jobs on the first Friday, PCE at month-end. Consensus figures come from the same feed the scoreboard grades, so what you see here is what the forecasters are held to there.
The release schedule that every number on this site updates on. Each event carries the Street consensus before the print and the actual after it; the same consensus feed is what the scoreboard grades forecasters against, so the figures here are the ones they are held to. Two layers are shown: the engine's own calendar of the releases it forecasts (CPI, PCE, the jobs report) with Nowflation's call on each, and the full US economic calendar for the current window (October 11, 2026 to November 1, 2026, 1517 events) filtered to what moves markets.
| Release | Data month | Date | Prior | Street (FMP calendar estimate) | Nowflation | Other benchmarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCE | September 2026 | October 29, 2026 8:30 AM ET | 3.4% | 3.2% (as of October 18, 2026) | posts before the print | — |
| Jobs report | October 2026 | November 6, 2026 8:30 AM ET | 29K | — | posts before the print | — |
| CPI | October 2026 | November 10, 2026 8:30 AM ET | 3.7% | — | 3.86% (provisional receipt) | Cleveland Fed 3.77% |
| PCE | October 2026 | November 25, 2026 8:30 AM ET | — | — | posts before the print | — |
| Jobs report | November 2026 | December 4, 2026 8:30 AM ET | — | — | posts before the print | — |
| CPI | November 2026 | December 10, 2026 8:30 AM ET | — | — | posts before the print | Kalshi 3.96% |
| PCE | November 2026 | December 23, 2026 8:30 AM ET | — | — | posts before the print | — |
The next CPI, for October 2026, is released November 10, 2026; the Nowflation Forecast is 3.86%, the current call until it is locked the evening before the release. For that print the consensus on the four graded targets is headline — year over year and — month over month, core — and —. CPI lands mid-month, the jobs report on the first Friday, PCE at month-end; all at 8:30 AM Eastern. A subscribable version of this list is at nowflation.ics.
| Date and release | Consensus | Previous |
|---|---|---|
| October 20, 2026 08:30 ET — Building Permits (Sep) | 1.4 M | 1.4 M |
| October 20, 2026 08:30 ET — Housing Starts (Sep) | 1.3 M | 1.28 M |
| October 22, 2026 08:30 ET — Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Oct/17) | 200 K | 198.5 K |
| October 22, 2026 08:30 ET — Initial Jobless Claims (Oct/17) | 200 K | 199 K |
| October 22, 2026 08:30 ET — Continuing Jobless Claims (Oct/10) | 1,712 K | 1,710 K |
| October 27, 2026 08:30 ET — Durable Goods Orders MoM (Sep) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| October 27, 2026 08:30 ET — Durable Goods Orders Ex Transp MoM (Sep) | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| October 27, 2026 08:30 ET — Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense MoM (Sep) | 0% | 0.1% |
| October 27, 2026 10:00 ET — New Home Sales (Sep) | — | 0.68 K |
| October 28, 2026 08:30 ET — Goods Trade Balance (Sep) | — | -132.1 B |
| October 28, 2026 14:00 ET — Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4% | 4% |
| October 28, 2026 14:30 ET — Press Conference | — | — |
| October 29, 2026 08:30 ET — Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Oct/24) | — | — |
| October 29, 2026 08:30 ET — Core PCE Price Index YoY (Sep) | 3.3% | 3% |
| October 29, 2026 08:30 ET — Personal Spending MoM (Sep) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
| October 29, 2026 08:30 ET — Personal Income MoM (Sep) | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| October 29, 2026 08:30 ET — GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Q3) | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| October 29, 2026 08:30 ET — Initial Jobless Claims (Oct/24) | — | — |
| October 29, 2026 08:30 ET — Core PCE Price Index MoM (Sep) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| October 29, 2026 08:30 ET — Continuing Jobless Claims (Oct/17) | — | — |
| Date and release | Actual | Consensus | Previous | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 15, 2026 08:30 ET — Continuing Jobless Claims (Oct/03) | 1,710 K | 1,710 K | 1,714 K | 0.00 |
| October 15, 2026 08:30 ET — Jobless Claims 4-Week Average (Oct/10) | 198.5 K | 199 K | 198.25 K | -0.50 |
| October 15, 2026 08:30 ET — Retail Sales YoY (Sep) | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | +1.10 |
| October 15, 2026 08:30 ET — NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Oct) | 25.5 | 10.3 | 7.6 | +15.20 |
| October 15, 2026 08:30 ET — Initial Jobless Claims (Oct/10) | 199 K | 200 K | 198 K | -1.00 |
| October 15, 2026 08:30 ET — Retail Sales MoM (Sep) | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.2% | -0.20 |
| October 15, 2026 08:30 ET — Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Sep) | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.00 |
| October 15, 2026 08:30 ET — Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM (Sep) | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | +0.40 |
| October 15, 2026 08:30 ET — Producer Price Index MoM (Sep) | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | +0.80 |
| October 14, 2026 08:30 ET — Core Inflation Rate MoM (Sep) | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | +0.10 |
| October 14, 2026 08:30 ET — CPI s.a (Sep) | 336.3 | 335.8 | 334.13 | +0.50 |
| October 14, 2026 08:30 ET — Inflation Rate (Sep) | 336.94 | 336.65 | 334.98 | +0.29 |
A surprise is the actual minus the consensus in the release's own units; the sign that counts as "good" depends on the series (a claims miss to the downside is good news, a CPI miss to the downside is disinflation). Markets trade the surprise, not the level, which is why the consensus column matters as much as the actual.
Read it against the Gauge (3.45%): CPI day is when the components without a live source step to their new official levels and the gap to the print resets; jobs Friday is when the payrolls forecast on the jobs page is graded; PCE day updates the measure the Fed's 2% objective is written on on Fed Watch. Times are as reported by the source feed (FMP's US economic calendar, the engine's release table and the forecast receipts) and the snapshot refreshes each morning before the open.