Energy inflation today: 23.25% on the daily gauge vs 20.4% official (September 2026)

Nowflation’s energy gauge reads 23.25% year over year as of October 23, 2026 (+0.360pp on the day, +0.240pp on the week, +0.250pp on the month; level 161.986, January 2018 = 100). The official BLS CPI energy was 20.4% for September 2026, released October 14, 2026 — a gap of +2.85pp today, +0.32pp like for like (the gauge’s September 2026 average against that print). The category carries 6.2% of the CPI basket; 47% of that weight is priced from live sources today. Next print: October 2026 CPI on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. A measurement, not a forecast.

Drivers on October 23, 2026

ComponentBasket weightYoYContribution to the categoryFeed today
Motor Fuel2.9%41.91%+20.91ppLIVE — aaa_gas_national
Electricity2.5%4.37%+1.71ppOFFICIAL — CUSR0000SEHF01 (official subindex, held between prints)
Utility Gas0.8%4.98%+0.63ppOFFICIAL — CUSR0000SEHF02 (official subindex, held between prints)

Questions

What is energy inflation right now?

Nowflation’s energy gauge reads 23.25% year over year as of October 23, 2026, measured daily on the CPI basket weights (6.2% of the basket). The official BLS CPI energy was 20.4% for September 2026, released October 14, 2026.

Why does it differ from the official energy CPI?

Today’s reading is +2.85pp versus the last print. About 47% of the category weight is priced from live sources today; the rest holds the official subindex until the next release. Like for like — the gauge’s average over September 2026 against that print — the gap was +0.32pp.

When is the next energy CPI number?

The October 2026 CPI prints on November 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET; this page steps to it the same morning.

How is the energy gauge built?

The BLS December chain over the member components (index Jan 2018 = 100), the aggregation the headline Gauge uses under method v1.5: each year’s relative-importance weights multiply price relatives since the previous December, and the year-over-year change joins the year-ago-to-December segment to the December-to-today one. A component priced on a monthly source compares that source’s latest month with the same month a year earlier, and takes the official subindex while BLS has published a newer month. The whole history on this page is computed under this method. Each contribution is the component’s exact share of the category’s year-over-year change; they add up to the reading. Motor fuel is priced daily from AAA’s national pump average; electricity and utility gas hold their official subindexes between prints (EIA residential prices publish 12–13 weeks after the month, later than the CPI subindex, so they are deliberately not overlaid).

Method

The BLS December chain over the member components (index Jan 2018 = 100), the aggregation the headline Gauge uses under method v1.5: each year’s relative-importance weights multiply price relatives since the previous December, and the year-over-year change joins the year-ago-to-December segment to the December-to-today one. A component priced on a monthly source compares that source’s latest month with the same month a year earlier, and takes the official subindex while BLS has published a newer month. The whole history on this page is computed under this method. Each contribution is the component’s exact share of the category’s year-over-year change; they add up to the reading. Motor fuel is priced daily from AAA’s national pump average; electricity and utility gas hold their official subindexes between prints (EIA residential prices publish 12–13 weeks after the month, later than the CPI subindex, so they are deliberately not overlaid). The official subindex is quoted at the last print (NSA, one decimal). The daily reading is a measurement of today; the like-for-like comparison is the calendar-month average of the daily series for the print’s reference month (at_print_month_pct), which is what the gap-at-print figure uses. Components: fuel, electricity, nat_gas; weights from the BLS CPI-U relative-importance table (engine weights.json) (2026). Engine construction v1.5.

Item trackers in this category

ItemPage
gas/gas
electricity/electricity

Embed: <iframe src="https://nowflation.com/embed?view=category&c=energy"> (builder).