The September 2026 CPI is released Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Nowflation’s standing call is — against the Street consensus of 3.7%. This page becomes the graded result the morning the number lands. The Nowflation Gauge — a measurement of today, not a call on the print — reads 3.15% as of September 8, 2026.
| Forecaster | Call | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Fed | 3.44% | receipt (provisional) |
| Street consensus | 3.7% | receipt (provisional) |
| Kalshi market-implied | 3.70% | receipt (provisional) |
| Forecaster | Call | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Fed | 2.32% | receipt (provisional) |
| Street consensus | 2.5% | receipt (provisional) |
| Kalshi market-implied | 2.45% | receipt (provisional) |
| Forecaster | Call | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Fed | 0.40% | receipt (provisional) |
| Street consensus | 0.5% | receipt (provisional) |
| Kalshi market-implied | 0.09% | receipt (provisional) |
| Forecaster | Call | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Fed | 0.19% | receipt (provisional) |
| Street consensus | 0.3% | receipt (provisional) |
no pre-registration receipt for this print (receipts began June 2026) — values are the scoreboard rows frozen at grading time. Receipts on the record.
Market-implied mean on September 8, 2026: 3.70%. Settles at 8:30 AM ET on the printed headline YoY (one decimal, as BLS reports it). Implied mean = survival-curve integration of the “above X%” ladder mid-prices at the print’s 0.1pp granularity (engine connectors/kalshi.js).
Before the print: every call as it stands on the tape, sealed into the receipt the evening before release (SHA-256 of the receipt JSON with its sha256 field removed). After the print: the scoreboard rows frozen at grading time — later revisions by any source never touch them. Graded against the BLS first release (YoY on the NSA index, MoM seasonally adjusted, one decimal). Signed error = forecast − actual.
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