Interest Rates · Real yields and inflation expectations

10-Year TIPS Yield (real rate, since 2003)

Name: 10-Year TIPS Yield (real rate, since 2003)
Creator: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED)

10-year real yield: 2.95% (Oct 5, 2026).
A year earlier: 1.80% (Oct 3, 2025), a change of +1.15 pts.
Highest on record here: 3.15% (Nov 21, 2008); lowest: −1.19% (Aug 3, 2021).

Year	Average	Year close
2003	2.06%	2.00%
2004	1.83%	1.68%
2005	1.81%	2.06%
2006	2.31%	2.41%
2007	2.29%	1.73%
2008	1.77%	2.14%
2009	1.66%	1.48%
2010	1.15%	1.00%
2011	0.55%	−0.07%
2012	−0.48%	−0.67%
2013	0.07%	0.80%
2014	0.44%	0.49%

Source: FRED DFII10 (Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis, Inflation-Indexed). Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Gray bands mark U.S. recessions as dated by the NBER (FRED USREC).

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