Interest Rates · Yield curve

Yield Curve - 10-Year minus 2-Year (since 1976)

The 10-year Treasury yield minus the 2-year. Below zero the curve is inverted; gray bands are recessions.

YearAverageYear close
19761.21%1.47%
19770.97%0.56%
19780.08%−0.83%
1979−0.68%−0.90%
1980−0.30%−0.63%
1981−0.65%0.35%
19820.20%0.88%
19830.89%0.97%
19840.79%1.53%
19851.35%1.02%
19860.81%0.88%
19870.98%1.06%

Source: FRED T10Y2Y (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity). Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Gray bands mark U.S. recessions as dated by the NBER (FRED USREC).

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