Economy · Household and corporate balance sheets

Stock Market Value to GDP (the Buffett Indicator)

The market value of U.S. nonfinancial corporations' shares (Federal Reserve Financial Accounts) as a percent of GDP, the valuation gauge Warren Buffett popularized. It leaves out financial companies, so it runs below measures of the whole market's capitalization. The dashed line is the long-run average.

YearAverageYear close
194736.62%36.62%
194833.58%33.58%
194938.36%38.36%
195039.59%39.59%
195141.45%41.45%
195241.73%38.50%
195335.35%37.33%
195445.77%48.74%
195553.58%55.87%
195657.33%58.28%
195753.71%51.75%
195860.96%64.99%

Source: FRED NCBEILQ027S (Nonfinancial Corporate Business; Corporate Equities; Liability, Level); FRED GDP (Gross Domestic Product). Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

Gray bands mark U.S. recessions as dated by the NBER (FRED USREC).

The interactive chart loads with JavaScript. All charts