The Nowflation CPI forecast — pre-registered, on the record

Our forecast for the next CPI print, locked before the release with a dated, immutable receipt — value, method, and every competing forecaster (our in-house model, the Cleveland Fed, the Street consensus, Kalshi markets) on the same tape. A live countdown runs to the 8:30 AM ET release.

The forecast is an error-weighted ensemble: each member is weighted by its own graded track record, validated in a leakage-free walk-forward. After each print, everyone gets graded on the scoreboard — wins, misses, and mean absolute error, in public. That accountability loop is the whole point of this site.

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