Energy inflation today: 16.06% on the daily gauge vs 14.7% official (July 2026)

Nowflation’s energy gauge reads 16.06% year over year as of September 8, 2026 (+0.010pp on the day, +0.280pp on the week, +1.600pp on the month; level 156.685, January 2018 = 100). The official BLS CPI energy was 14.7% for July 2026, released August 12, 2026 — a gap of +1.36pp today, −0.68pp like for like (the gauge’s July 2026 average against that print). The category carries 6.2% of the CPI basket; 47% of that weight is priced from live sources today. Next print: August 2026 CPI on September 11, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. A measurement, not a forecast.

Drivers on September 8, 2026

ComponentBasket weightYoYContribution to the categoryFeed today
Motor Fuel2.9%30.42%+14.30ppLIVE — aaa_gas_national
Electricity2.5%4.20%+1.70ppOFFICIAL — CUSR0000SEHF01 (official subindex, held between prints)
Utility Gas0.8%4.32%+0.54ppOFFICIAL — CUSR0000SEHF02 (official subindex, held between prints)

Questions

What is energy inflation right now?

Nowflation’s energy gauge reads 16.06% year over year as of September 8, 2026, measured daily on the CPI basket weights (6.2% of the basket). The official BLS CPI energy was 14.7% for July 2026, released August 12, 2026.

Why does it differ from the official energy CPI?

Today’s reading is +1.36pp versus the last print. About 47% of the category weight is priced from live sources today; the rest holds the official subindex until the next release. Like for like — the gauge’s average over July 2026 against that print — the gap was −0.68pp.

When is the next energy CPI number?

The August 2026 CPI prints on September 11, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET; this page steps to it the same morning.

How is the energy gauge built?

Weight-normalised average of the member components’ daily index levels (Jan 2018 = 100), on the BLS relative-importance weights for the year — the same Laspeyres-style aggregation the headline Gauge uses; YoY is the level against the same calendar day a year earlier. Motor fuel is priced daily from AAA’s national pump average; electricity and utility gas hold their official subindexes between prints (EIA residential prices publish 12–13 weeks after the month, later than the CPI subindex, so they are deliberately not overlaid).

Method

Weight-normalised average of the member components’ daily index levels (Jan 2018 = 100), on the BLS relative-importance weights for the year — the same Laspeyres-style aggregation the headline Gauge uses; YoY is the level against the same calendar day a year earlier. Motor fuel is priced daily from AAA’s national pump average; electricity and utility gas hold their official subindexes between prints (EIA residential prices publish 12–13 weeks after the month, later than the CPI subindex, so they are deliberately not overlaid). The official subindex is quoted at the last print (NSA, one decimal). The daily reading is a measurement of today; the like-for-like comparison is the calendar-month average of the daily series for the print’s reference month (at_print_month_pct), which is what the gap-at-print figure uses. Components: fuel, electricity, nat_gas; weights from the BLS CPI-U relative-importance table (engine weights.json) (2026). Engine construction v1.4.

Item trackers in this category: gas · electricity.

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