Nowflation › Release calendar › August 2026 PCE

August 2026 PCE (September 30, 2026): Countdown, What to Watch

Countdown

The August 2026 PCE is released Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET (BEA). The countdown runs live on this page; this section grades itself after the release.

What to watch

Prior: headline PCE 3.7% YoY (July 2026).
Core PCE prior: 3.3% YoY, the Fed's preferred measure.
Nowflation: no PCE call. The Gauge and the Forecast are CPI-basis; PCE weights shelter lower and medical care higher, so it usually prints below CPI.

The Nowflation call

Nowflation makes no PCE call. The Gauge and the Forecast are CPI-basis; PCE weights shelter lower and medical care higher, so it usually prints below CPI.

Competing forecasts

Forecaster	Call	Source
Prior month (naive)	3.7%	the previous print

Grading

This section fills in automatically after the release (Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET): the printed number from BEA, every forecaster's miss, and the closest call.