NowflationRelease calendar › September 2026 jobs report

September 2026 jobs report (October 2, 2026): Countdown, What to Watch

Countdown

The September 2026 jobs report is released Friday, October 2, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET (BLS). The countdown runs live on this page; this section grades itself after the release.

What to watch

  • Prior: payrolls +162K in August 2026.
  • Street consensus: +120K payrolls.
  • Unemployment rate: 4.1% in August 2026.
  • Nowflation: no payrolls call. Watch average hourly earnings against the Gauge: real wages are the inflation story in this report.

The Nowflation call

Nowflation makes no Jobs report call. Watch average hourly earnings against the Gauge: real wages are the inflation story in this report.

Competing forecasts

ForecasterCallSource
Street consensus+120Kconsensus on the calendar
Prior month (naive)+162Kthe previous report

Grading

This section fills in automatically after the release (Friday, October 2, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET): the printed number from BLS, every forecaster's miss, and the closest call.

Related: Jobs and wages · Real wages · Series PAYEMS · Release calendar