Nowflation › Release calendar › July 2026 jobs report

July 2026 jobs report: +21K — Graded, Nowflation +198K

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Released Friday, August 7, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Graded below.

Prior: payrolls +20K in June 2026.
Street consensus: +80K payrolls (FMP economic calendar estimate).
Unemployment rate: 4.2% in June 2026.
Nowflation: the in-house payroll nowcast (as of August 6, 2026) is graded below after the report. Watch average hourly earnings against the Gauge: real wages are the inflation story in this report.

+198K nonfarm payrolls for July 2026 (Nowflation's in-house payroll nowcast, last before the release, August 6, 2026; not a sealed receipt).

Forecaster	Call	Miss
Street consensus	+80K	+59K
Prior month (naive) (closest)	+20K	−1K

July 2026 payrolls +21K (reported August 7, 2026), unemployment 4.1% (prior +20K). Source: BLS, from series PAYEMS (monthly change) and UNRATE.

Nowflation +198K vs printed +21K: miss +177K.