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1-Year Expected Inflation (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland)

Series EXPINF1YR — Cleveland Fed 1yr expected inflation.

Latest value: 2.98% for October 2026, +0.25 pp from a year earlier (against October 2025). 130 monthly observations from January 2016 to October 2026, in percent. Source: FRED (FRED route); context series, not an input to the Nowflation CPI Gauge.

Latest observations

PeriodValue
October 20262.98%
September 20262.66%
August 20262.40%
July 20262.39%
June 20263.04%
May 20263.54%
April 20263.28%
March 20262.30%
February 20262.59%
January 20262.59%
December 20253.19%
November 20252.70%

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Cite: Nowflation, “1-Year Expected Inflation (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland)” (EXPINF1YR), data from FRED, retrieved October 18, 2026, https://nowflation.com/series/EXPINF1YR. The series at its source: FRED.

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Cleveland Fed 10yr expected inflation · University of Michigan: Inflation Expectation (1-year) · Effective fed funds rate · NY Fed SCE median 1yr inflation expectations

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